What the Luck The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives [Audiobook]

Descargar What the Luck The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives [Audiobook] gratis por Mediafire, Mega.co.nz, Putlocker, 4Shared, Multiupload en PDF Y DOC, en el foro de Audiolibros.

Tema: What the Luck The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives [Audiobook]  (Leído 37 veces)

enero 10, 2017, 01:36:46 pm
  • Miembro VIP
  • *****
  • Mensajes: 170469
    • Ver Perfil


DESCARGAR






What the Luck?: The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives [Audiobook] by Gary Smith
English | September 19, 2016 | ASIN: B01LDR4FYU | MP3 VBR V1 | 7 hrs 49 mins | 268 MB
Narrator: Tim Andres Pabon

The newest book by the acclaimed author of Standard Deviations takes on luck, and all the mischief the idea of luck can cause in our lives.

In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         in fourth grade.

And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there's one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called regression to the mean.

Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day-to-day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless.

Freakonomics showed how economic calculations can explain seemingly counterintuitive decision-making. Thinking, Fast and Slow helped listeners identify a host of small cognitive errors that can lead to miscalculations and irrational thought. In What the Luck?, statistician and author Gary Smith sets himself a similar goal, and explains - in clear, understandable, and witty prose - how a statistical understanding of luck can change the way we see just about every aspect of our lives and can help us learn to rely less on random chance, and more on truth.

DOWNLOAD
(Buy premium account for maximum speed and resuming ability)
Código: [Seleccionar]

http://nitroflare.com/view/B423D927213AC34/e2rwz.W.t.L.T.S.R.o.C.i.O.E.L.A.rar

http://rapidgator.net/file/912b2718419483c1d158a1c54152b0bd/e2rwz.W.t.L.T.S.R.o.C.i.O.E.L.A.rar

http://uploaded.net/file/3h8li3k0/e2rwz.W.t.L.T.S.R.o.C.i.O.E.L.A.rar

Descarga PDF en MEGA:

Facebook

Te gusta este Post?

Twitter

Compartelo:

Google +1

+1 a este Post:

 

GoogleTagged



Visitantes encuentran esta pagina buscando: